TSLA Trading Guide

Embrace the Volatility

TSLA is one of the most volatile large-cap stocks. This means larger potential gains, but also requires wider stops and disciplined risk management. The bot is designed for these conditions.

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Volatility Risk Calculator

Calculate optimal position sizing and stop losses based on TSLA's current volatility conditions:

Current Volatility Metrics

Real-time volatility indicators to help you assess current market conditions:

Implied Volatility

Options-based expectation

78% 30-day

Extreme: Options pricing in major moves. Consider volatility plays.

Historical Volatility

Actual price movement

65% 20-day

High: Recent price swings above normal. Use wider stops.

Intraday Range

Daily high-low spread

8.2% avg

Medium: Typical daily range for current conditions.

Beta vs S&P 500

Relative volatility

2.1x 90-day

High: Moves 2x more than market. Amplified reactions.

Volatility-Based Trading Strategies

Different approaches for different volatility environments:

LOW VOLATILITY

Range Trading Strategy

When TSLA volatility drops below 40%, focus on buying support and selling resistance within established ranges. Use tighter stops and smaller position sizes.

Stop Loss
2-4%
Position Size
Standard
Time Horizon
1-3 days
Win Rate
65-75%
MEDIUM VOLATILITY

Breakout Strategy

In moderate volatility (40-60%), focus on momentum breakouts above key levels. Use the volatility to capture larger moves while managing risk.

Stop Loss
4-6%
Position Size
Reduced
Time Horizon
2-5 days
Win Rate
55-65%
HIGH VOLATILITY

Volatility Expansion

When volatility exceeds 60%, use wider stops and smaller positions. Focus on major support/resistance levels and news-driven moves.

Stop Loss
6-10%
Position Size
Small
Time Horizon
1-7 days
Win Rate
45-55%

30-Day Volatility Trend

Track TSLA's volatility patterns over the past month:

Week 1
Week 2
Week 3
Week 4
Current

Volatility peaked in Week 4 following earnings announcement, now moderating but still elevated.

Critical Risk Management Rules

Volatility-Adjusted Position Sizing

  • Never risk more than 2% per trade: TSLA's volatility can quickly turn small losses into large ones.
  • Scale position size inversely with volatility: Higher volatility = smaller positions, regardless of confidence level.
  • Use ATR-based stops: Set stops at 2-3x Average True Range to avoid getting stopped out by normal volatility.
  • Monitor implied volatility: High IV often signals upcoming price expansion - adjust accordingly.
  • Avoid earnings week unless experienced: Volatility can exceed 100% around earnings announcements.
  • Time-Based Risk Factors

  • First 30 minutes: Extreme volatility as overnight news gets digested. Consider waiting for initial move to complete.
  • Last 30 minutes: Increased volatility from closing auctions and position adjustments.
  • Options expiration: Gamma effects can cause unusual price movements, especially near strike prices.
  • After-hours trading: Lower liquidity amplifies volatility. Use limit orders and smaller sizes.
  • Advanced Volatility Techniques

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